Showing posts with label Marin Cilic. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Marin Cilic. Show all posts

Saturday, September 10, 2011

US OPEN 2011: Men's Semifinals Preview


The Fabulous Four meet again:
Djokovic (1) v Federer (3), Nadal (2) v Murray (4)


by Mad Professah, contributing writer



This year I correctly predicted 3 of 4 men's quarterfinals and 2 of 4 women's quarterfinals. Last year I correctly predicted 2 of 2 women's semifinals and 2 of 2 men's semifinals.

Here are my predictions for the men's semifinals, with the women's semifinals preview also available.


Novak Djokovic SRB (1) v. Roger Federer SUI (3). This is of course a repeat of last year's instant classic Men's semifinal won by Djokovic after saving 2 consecutive match points in the 5th set. The question is, will this year's result be the same as last year's? Arguably, Djokovic is playing much better now than he did then, but so is Federer. (But clearly Djokovic's improvement over 2010 is larger than Federer's.) Is the fact that Federer is one year older (and now over 30, playing someone who is 24) more significant than the fact that he is the only player to have beaten Djokovic in a best of 5 set match all year? Or is the Serb's juggernaut record of 62-2 for the year more salient? Amazingly, Federer and Djokovic have met during the last weekend of the US Open for the last 5 years and Federer is 3-1 so far (including one final, in 2007). In fact, the Swiss great leads their career head-to-head 14-9, but has lost three times to Djokovic on hard courts this year (including the 2011 Australian Open semifinal where Federer was defending champion). In New York, Federer has actually had the toughest draw of the Top 4 players, facing Jo-Wilfried Tsonga (11) and Marin Cilic (27). Djokovic has had a much easier time with two retirements in his first 5 rounds and a double-bagel match.  Djokovic's competition has been Nikolay Davydenko, Aleksandr Dolgopolov and an inspired Janko Tipsarevic. Interestingly, his matches have gotten tighter (in the score) as the tournament progresses, while Federer has basically played at the level he needs to win, relative to whoever is on the other side of the net. As most readers know, I am a decided Federer fan and when I started this write-up I intended to make a clear call for The Greatest Of All Time. I'm convinced he can win this match, but I am unsure as to whether he will. Doing the research for this piece has shown me that Djokovic is more likely to win this match, and the title. However, if Federer comes out early playing the kind of tennis he played against Tsonga and Juan Monaco I believe he can win in straight sets. Regardless, I doubt it will match last year's semifinal's shot-making and drama. MadProfessah's pick: Federer in 3 sets OR Djokovic in 4 or 5.

 Andy Murray GBR (4) v. Rafael Nadal ESP (2). Nadal holds a significant 12-4 career head-to-head over Murray, including a slight 4-3 edge on hard courts. However, their more recent matches on hard courts have been very close, with the most famous being their electric 3-set thriller at the Barclays ATP World Tour Finals in London in 2010, won by Nadal. In matches at the majors, Nadal leads 5-2 but at the 2010 Australian Open Murray was beating the Spaniard like a drum in the quarters when Nadal pulled the ripcord and retired from the match. However, I think what matters most is the match-up today and how they have been playing to date in New York. Nadal has had to get through Andy Roddick (21), David Nalbandian and Gilles Muller. Murray has had to get past John Isner (28), Donald Young and Feliciano Lopez (25). Really both players have had a relatively easy path to the semifinals, although Murray had to survive a 5-set scare against talented Robin Haase in the second round. The Brit is clearly starting to cement his "Fab 4" status, by making the semifinals or better of every major played in 2011(something Djokovic has also managed for the first time this year while Nadal has only done it once, in 2008 and Federer did for five consecutive years in a row from 2005 and 2009). He is showing his consistency and letting his innate talent shine through. Murray also has confidence, being one of two players to have defeated Djokovic in 2011, something Nadal hasn't done. I believe Murray is going to do something he hasn't done before (and which a lot of people don't expect him to do), and beat Nadal in a major semifinal. MadProfessah's pick: Murray in 3 or 4 sets OR Nadal in 5.

Sunday, May 22, 2011

Roland Garros: Cognitive D̶i̶s̶s̶o̶n̶a̶n̶c̶e̶ Flatulence


ap-201105221012367533479

 

Marin out. In his opening match. On the first day of Roland Garros. In straights. To Ramirez Hidalgo.

The sad thing is, no one was even that surprised.

Then again no one made light of it either. Probably because its not funny anymore.


1a53886775996f7c495552b03a0eba51-getty-tennis-fra-open-roland-garros

Apparently there was a stomach complaint of sorts.

In which case, I SERIOUSLY question the decision to play when you’re facing the possibility of a sixth consecutive first round Slam exit.

Despite my better judgement I still want to believe in you – mostly because I’m not that keen on the haters’ caricature of the spoilt, affluent slacker travelling from tournie to tournie in Daddy’s helicopter.

Articles like this, however, don’t help. Neither do 6 consecutive first round Slam exits.

Sunday, February 20, 2011

Under The Radar

Swedish Robin Soderling holds his trophy after winning the ATP Open  13 tennis tournament final against Croatian Marin Cilic , on February  20, 2011 in Marseille, southern France. Soderling won  6-7 (10/8), 6-3,  6-3.
Getty

Robin Söderling won his third title of 2011 with a 6-7(8), 6-3, 6-3 victory over Marin Cilic at Open 13 in Marseille.

The Big Swede has lost exactly one match this year.

Monday, June 14, 2010

Folie de Grandeur. Men’s Tennis I’m looking at YOU.

mauresmo_afp_getty


No I mean it.

Amelie began coaching Michael Llodra at Queens last week (yes, I know), but she may as well have been cringing over the entire ATP top ten.


Congratulations to Rusty and Querrey for making good in a week when order, reason and good old common sense seemed to fail us.


Actually, I excuse both Rafa and Roger. Their loss last week is not quite the cause for the Requiem Mass some are now undertaking. It certainly doesn’t seem to me to warrant anything more than a half-raised eyebrow.


rafa_afp_getty


Nadal got to the quarters, seized up with a hamstring problem against a grass court specialist playing in his own words “the best match of his career”. Hardly surprising given the season he’s just had – perhaps even a blessing in disguise. Besides, it’s a hamstring problem – not the knees – read not a Code Red. Nothing a ten day fishing stint in Majorca can’t fix.


Half Raised Eyebrows.


Federer’s loss to Hewitt, breaking as it does a 15 match winning streak against him and a winning record at Halle that dates back to 2003, is….concerning. It’s also just another instance of his less polished record outside of the Slams. Whether you think that’s because “he doesn’t care” (laughable notion), or is more prone to the unforgiving three-set format, or is simply less attuned to winning these tune-up events, the results speak for themselves. For my part, I defer exercising my right to get more “up in arms” about it for when the same thing starts happening at Slams.


Four other reasons why my arms aren’t up:


1) Federer had his worst clay court season in 6 years, even though in my mind he was playing, during parts of it, better than he was in 2008.


2) For what its worth, I do believe he found his form in Madrid in a final where both he and Nadal moved around like two-bit drunkards, performing at about 70%.


fed_afp


3) The loss in RG? NO ONE beats Sod in that form (see Sod’s first law).


4) Yet, despite all this, he still made the finals of the first grass court event of the season in the same week that no other top ten player even managed a semi.


Eyebrows still only half raised .


***


Not quite as ready to absolve the rest of the “top ten” from tennis purgatory.


Since Muzz lost at Oz he appears to have joined Djoko in a rut of disillusionment whose only distinguishing feature is it’s ability to produce a string of “nearly-man” results. Just about enough to maintain a ranking but not nearly enough to keep you relevant.


Both of them right now, in fact, seem to occupy a no-man’s land of the top ten: neither threatening the top, nor standing in the way of those that do.


Marin and A-Rod are more perplexing. When Roddick took off the early part of the clay season for what sounds like a second honeymoon with his Misuss, he got, what I thought at the time, was a disproportionate amount of flak for it. Sela, unfortunately for A-Rod, gave what’ll likely be a once-in-a-lifetime performance at Queens that lead to him being termed “Baby Reeshie”.


Not quite sure how that works, but it also means Roddick enters Wimbledon with the least amount of matches he’s likely ever had.


As for Marin I’m pretty sure now that at some point , he’ll come through as “this year’s Delpo” – just don’t be surprised if he takes until next year to realise it. He’s certainly taking the more torrid, torturous route.


chalk-outline-man-thumb4308267


At RG, I suspect, he was simply unlucky to run into Sod. Who promptly murdered him. Which might explain his loss here this week – hard to string two wins together if you’re not a shadow but a mere chalk outline of yourself.


(Photos: AFP/Getty)

Sunday, May 9, 2010

Winner's Circle

Albert Montanes of Spain holds the trophy at the Estoril Tennis  Open after his final against Portugal's Frederico Gil in Lisbon May 9,  2010.
Reuters

Albert Montanes of Spain holds the trophy at the Estoril Tennis Open after his 6-2, 6-7(4), 7-5 victory Portugal's Frederico Gil in Lisbon May 9, 2010.

Mikhail Youzhny from Russia holds the trophy during the winner  ceremony after the final match against Marin Cilic from Croatia   at the  ATP BMW open tennis tournament in Munich, southern Germany, on Sunday,  May 9, 2010. Youzhny won the match 6-3, 4-6  and 6-4.
AP

Mikhail Youzhny from Russia holds the trophy during the winner ceremony after the final match against Marin Cilic from Croatia at the ATP BMW open tennis tournament in Munich, southern Germany, on Sunday, May 9, 2010. Youzhny won the match 6-3, 4-6 and 6-4.

Sam Querrey of the U.S. holds up his trophy after defeating John  Isner of the U.S. during their final tennis match of the Serbia Open  tennis tournament, in Belgrade, Serbia, Sunday, May 9, 2010.
AP

Sam Querrey of the U.S. holds up his trophy after defeating John Isner of the U.S. during their final tennis match of the Serbia Open tennis tournament, in Belgrade, Serbia, Sunday, May 9, 2010.

Wednesday, March 24, 2010

Miami: Mens Preview


“Lest we forget”.



12 months and 3 Slam Titles later…


1st Quarter


Contenders: Federer, Berdych, Verdasco, Baggy, Cilic

Party Poopers: Federer out to Berdych (R4)

Needs to happen: Cilic v Baggy (R3)

Sympathy Vote: None.


IW/Miami has proved something of a double whammy for Fed over the last four years.


My guess is he’ll fare somewhat better this time round, though with Berdych and Baggy’s fettle looking finer than ever, a single lapse might be one too many.


I’ve had visions of greatness for Marin since late last year, visions that were digitally restored by the events in Oz: losing 7-6, 6-0 to Garcia Lopez at IW however, wasn’t amongst them.


Visions of greatness or Delusions of Grandeur? You decide.


Sock-pulley-up-time, or it won’t be long before “the next Delpo” is roundly castigated as “the next Baggy”.


2nd Quarter


Contenders: Muzz, Wawrinka, Youzhny, Gonzo, Soderling

Party Poopers: Muzz out to Lopez (R3)

Needs to happen: Soderling v Gonzo (R4)

Sympathy Vote: Youzhny. Dubai reminded me why I enjoy watching him so much. Then he got injured.


Muzz/Soderling QF rematch is very much on. Without the requisite amount of firepower around to ensure it’s not.


Sod v Gonzo should also (quite literally) be a bash.


3rd Quarter


Contenders: Tsonga, Kohlschreiber, Isner, Ferrero, Ferrer, Karlovic, Troicki, Nadal

Party Poopers: Tsonga out to Kohlschreiber (R3)

Needs to happen: Tsonga v Kohlschreiber (R3).

Sympathy Vote: Nalbie.


Plenty happening here. The top half seems more fraught with peril, meaning it’s difficult to rate Jo-Wills chances that highly. Isner likely represents the better bet.


Somewhat less perilous draw for Rafa whose only probable obstacle comes in the form of Ivo. That is unless Nalbie manages to turn back the clock. Which I rather hope he might.


4th Quarter


Contenders: Roddick, Robredo, Ljuby, La Monf, Querrey, Djoko

Party Poopers: A-Rod out to Igor ‘the Forehand’ (R2)

Needs to happen: Ditto

Sympathy Vote: Mario Ancic and James Blake


What say you of Ljuby’s chances this time round?


Rough draw for A-Rod with Andreev, Bennetau and Ljuby likely consecutive opponents.


Nothing I see in Djoko's section leads me to believe he won't find a way to grind his way through it.


Wednesday, February 10, 2010

Quote For The Day

"By February’s end, after the guarantees have been paid and the results have been totaled up, nothing historic or memorable will have happened. But if it doesn’t mean much for the Nadals and Henins of the world — neither of whom are going to play until March — February isn’t a complete waste. It has already allowed Marin Cilic, who won in Zagreb, to consolidate his Melbourne gains, and given Melanie Oudin, who won two Fed Cup matches this weekend, some much-needed positive energy. It has also, naturally, left Gael Monfils injured again." --Steve Tignor

Monday, February 8, 2010

Champions On Three Continents



Feliciano Lopez defeated first-time finalist Stephen Robert of France 7-5, 6-1 to take the South Africa Open title. It's the Spaniard's first title in five-and-a-half years.



Thomaz Bellucci outlasted Juan Monaco 6-2, 0-6, 6-4 to win the Movistar Open, the first Brazilian in 10 years to do so.



Marin Cilic gutted out a 6-4, 6-7(5), 6-3 victory over Michael Berrer to defend the PBZ Zagreb Indoors in his homeland.

Thursday, February 4, 2010

2Hander's Take: AO Aftermath

I would like to start by reintroducing myself. Why? Well, I have noticed over the past year or so that the readership of this blog has grown (probably no thanks to me and my rants!) and I have been, at best, a passive reader during my absence.





Where do I start? For those who know me, I've been away from posting largely due to my mother being ill in hospital. She had a long history of heart and chest related problems. Judging by my use of the past tense, you'd be right in assuming that she is no longer with us. She sadly passed away a few months ago after quite a long stint in hospital. It's weird, but the rollercoaster that this whole episode was seems like it was ages ago, when it wasn't. At times, it has been hard trying to get (and remain!) focussed. I am OK though. The term moving on for me is more like a helical spring-shaped path as opposed to a simple straight line. Losing a loved one, well, feelings come and go as time goes by. Time does heal a great deal and I am thankful for what and whom I do have.





So, in a way, tennis does help to keep me (somewhat) sane – all the more thanks to you guys.





Now, for those who may be thinking: "Who the hell is this guy?!" and/or "Where the heck did he come from?!", I am an old friend and sometimes tennis partner of our beloved friend Topspin. We have been talking about tennis like quasi-pundits for around 10-12 years, back when we were in our early 20s (Woops! Have I just given away our ages?! HAHA!!). Top gave me the honour of being a guest poster on this fine blog and you will find that I am far more shamelessly opinionated and certain things (like the [crap] state of British tennis) wind me up something chronic. However, I like to think I am a malleable sort of chap who can be persuaded to see and sometimes take on different perspectives to issues around The Beautiful Game – no, not the one where 20-22 people are running around trying to kick an overglorified pig's bladder through a metal rectangle!



(Though I am a football fan as well, just nowhere near as much)





This Aussie Open…I paid more attention to the 'business end', i.e. the second week and it seemed to be lacking a certain something. Yes, it had the crazy epic duels early on in the first week, the odd upset (Delpo's early exit), dark horses (Cilic) and yes, Federer played a very good tournament and all that. However, I can't help but feel that tennis has come full circle since 2007, when Federer dominated like something crazy. I'm sure he is older and wiser, especially being a dad now – his life must have a lot more perspective now and he seems to be playing much more freely. He got the GOAT, as well, although not against Nadal at any point along the way but through no fault of his own. Anyway, he has nothing to prove and I think most people would be inclined to agree. I do think that had he won last year in that 5-set epic with Nadal, it may have been more fulfilling, probably because it would have silenced a lot of critics. I must add that his volleying has lost quite a lot of its edge, especially in the final. I think Tsonga may be the best volleyer around today, as he more willingly comes to the net.





I am also saddened by Nadal's status quo at the mo. All I can say is that I hope he gets back to full fitness soon and we get to see him flourish and achieve even more. He's too nice a guy to not wish him well. Though I am sure he's learnt his lesson and not enter 500 clay court tournaments in any given year!





Djokovic has matured in terms of his attitude off court as well as his game. Just take a look at how awkward he felt when asked to do an impression of Nadal (in front of him as well!) at a presentation ceremony (was it at Rome?). He seems just as lethal off both wings and, oh yeah, he has changed attire from Adidas to Sergio Tacchini (Are they back now? What about Ellesse?).





Murray really looked as though he was ready for his maiden Slam. His game has come on leaps and bounds, although he needs to improve his 1st serve percentage. His second serve is better now than it was at the last Wimby, it has to be said. Like Roger said, his time will surely come soon. And he's also switched clothing from Fred Perry to Adidas…





I still think there is another Slam or so left in A-Rod…though I will not commit to anything by saying when and where it might come.





I reckon Delpo will bounce back from this early setback. Being tall, he can slap any loopy forehands Nadal can throw at him, as he did in Flushing Meadow. He has also exorcised the demon posed by Fed.





Nando Verdasco…I just want to slap him for losing against Davydenko! Not so much for losing against him because Kolya has improved, it's more the manner in which he lost. I still think Davy lacks the flair it takes to win a Slam, maybe he'll prove me wrong. We'll not talk about that set he took of Fed because even I probably could have taken that set off him!





So yeah, things have changed, but maybe we've just been given a brief flashback of how things used to be. You know, Federer just finishing matches at will, even in Slams. In the grand scheme of things, the field has opened up, with at least 4-5 realistic Grand Slam contenders. The next few months will definitely be very interesting…





Thursday, January 28, 2010

Faces Of The Day

Croatia's Marin Cilic wipes his face during his semi-final match against Andy Murray of Britain at the Australian Open tennis tournament in Melbourne January 28, 2010.
Reuters

Men's Singles - Semifinals
[5] A Murray (GBR) d [14] M Cilic (CRO) 36 64 64 62

Men's Doubles - Semifinals
[1] B Bryan (USA) / M Bryan (USA) d M Kohlmann (GER) / J Nieminen (FIN) 61 64
[2] D Nestor (CAN) / N Zimonjic (SRB) d I Karlovic (CRO) / D Vemic (SRB) 64 64

China's Zheng Jie reacts during her semi-final loss to Justine Henin of Belgium at the Australian Open tennis tournament in Melbourne January 28, 2010.
Reuters

Women's Singles - Semifinals
(1) Serena Williams (USA) d. (16) Li Na (CHN) 76(4) 76(1)
(WC) Justine Henin (BEL) d. Zheng Jie (CHN) 61 60

Women's Doubles - Semifinals

(1) Black/Huber (ZIM/USA) d. (15) Kirilenko/A.Radwanska (RUS/POL) 61 16 63
(2) Williams/Williams (USA/USA) d. (6) Raymond/Stubbs (USA/AUS) 63 76(6)

Wednesday, January 27, 2010

Australian Open 2010: Men's Semifinals Preview

by Mad Professah

I predicted the results of 3 of the 4 the men's quarterfinals correctly but only 1 of 4 of the women's quarterfinals correctly. I have already written my women's semifinals preview. Here is my preview of the men's semfinals in the 2010 Australian Open:

Roger Federer SUI (1) vs. Novak Djokovic SRB (3) Jo-Wilfried Tsonga FRA (10). For the twenty-third consecutive time, Roger Federer is in a major grand slam semifinal. Let me say that again. 23 times in a row. That is nearly 6 years of every slam. The next closest total is Ivan Lendl with 10. Federer has also been in the last 17 of 18 major finals (winning 11); his only slip-up was two years ago here in Melbourne, to Novak Djokovic, who ended up winning the tournament against Jo-Wilfried Tsonga in the 2008 final. Tsonga got his revenge last night by beating the Serbian , a result which I welcome but did not expect or predict. "Jo-Willie" really seems to enjoy the big lights and enthusiastic crowd down in Australia and they bring out the best tennis in the charismatic, hard-hitting Frenchman. Just to get to this point, Tsonga has had to win two tough 5-set matches (his first ever!), most particularly the 4th Round thriller against Nicolas Almagro where he had to recover from "being two sets to none up" (as Mary Carillo quipped earlier this week) and ended up winning the match 6-3 6-4 4-6 6-7(6) 9-7. Against Djokovic, the Frenchman played two very close sets and only ended up winning one of them and then went "on walkabout" during the third set before Djokovic's physical ailments seem to weigh down the Serb's game more and more until it finally collapsed completely in a 7-6(8) 6-7(5) 1-6 6-3 6-1 loss.

The match-up between Federer and Tsonga is an interesting (and exciting) one. They have only played twice (in the last two years), both times on hard courts and the score is tied 1-1. I well remember their meeting at the ATP Masters Series during the Montreal massacre last year because Tsonga lost 10 games in a row and was down 5-1 in the third set before coming back to win in a decisive tie-breaker. Federer showed with his tight 2-6 6-3 6-0 7-5 dismissal of a more energized Nikolay Davydenko for the 13th time in 15 matches that he does not like to lose to the same person in consecutive matches. I personally will be happy with whomever wins this match, there's no one left in the tournament that would annoy me if they claimed the title.
MadProfessah's pick: Federer in 4 sets OR Tsonga in 5 sets.


Marin Cilic CRO (14) vs. Andy Murray GBR (5).This is Andy Murray's year. Unless it's not. On paper, the Scotsman sports head-to-head advantages over all of the remaining semifinalists (6-4 against Federer, 2-1 against Tsonga and 3-1 against his semifinal opponent, Marin Cilic) and should be the favorite for the 2010 Australian Open men's title. He was in the process of imposing his will on the defending champion Rafael Nadal before the Spaniard said ¡No Más! trailing 6-3 7-6(2) 3-0. Murray is yet to drop a set in the tournament, the only player on either side of the draw to do so. Cilic on the other hand last beat Murray the last time they played, in New York, handily 7-5 6-2 6-2. However, here in Melbourne Cilic has played three 5 set matches and a 4-set match to reach his first major semifinal, but the quality of his opponents has been substantially higher than Murray's: 2009 defending US Open champion Juan Martín del Potro, 2009 Wimbledon finalist Andy Roddick and the always wily Fabrice Santoro in the first round. That being said, I think that Murray has both the game and the will to win this match and one more. MadProfessah's pick: Murray in 4 sets.

Tuesday, January 26, 2010

Day 9: Wounded

Rafael Nadal of Spain receives medical treatment as he plays Andy Murray of Britain during their quarter-final match at the Australian Open tennis tournament in Melbourne January 26, 2010.
Reuters

Rafael Nadal of Spain receives medical treatment as he plays Andy Murray of Britain during their quarter-final match at the Australian Open tennis tournament in Melbourne January 26, 2010.

Russia's Maria Kirilenko is tended to by a trainer during her quarter-final match against Zheng Jie of China at the Australian Open tennis tournament in Melbourne January 26, 2010.
Reuters

Russia's Maria Kirilenko is tended to by a trainer during her quarterfinal match against Zheng Jie of China at the Australian Open tennis tournament in Melbourne January 26, 2010.

MELBOURNE, AUSTRALIA - JANUARY 26:  Andy Roddick of the United States of America recieves medical attention between games in his quarterfinal match against Marin Cilic of Croatia during day nine of the 2010 Australian Open at Melbourne Park on January 26, 2010 in Melbourne, Australia.
Reuters

Andy Roddick of the United States of America recieves medical attention between games in his quarterfinal match against Marin Cilic of Croatia during day nine of the 2010 Australian Open at Melbourne Park on January 26, 2010 in Melbourne, Australia.

::

Singles - Quarterfinals
[5] A Murray (GBR) d [2] R Nadal (ESP) 63 76(2) 30 ret. (right knee)
[14] M Cilic (CRO) d [7] A Roddick (USA) 76(4) 63 36 26 63

Doubles - Quarter-finals
[1] B Bryan (USA) / M Bryan (USA) d E Butorac (USA) / R Ram (USA) 75 46 76(2)
M Kohlmann (GER) / J Nieminen (FIN) d F Gonzalez (CHI) / I Ljubicic (CRO) 46 61 20 ret. (Ljubicic - right thigh)

Doubles - Third Round
I Karlovic (CRO) / D Vemic (SRB) d [5] L Kubot (POL) / O Marach (AUT) 26 76(11) 76(4)

Women's Singles - Quarterfinals
(WC) Justine Henin (BEL) d. (19) Nadia Petrova (RUS) 76(3) 75
Zheng Jie (CHN) d. Maria Kirilenko (RUS) 61 63

Doubles - Quarterfinals
(2) Williams/Williams (USA/USA) d. (8) Mattek-Sands/Yan (USA/CHN) 64 46 64
(6) Raymond/Stubbs (USA/AUS) d. (13) Dulko/Pennetta (ARG/ITA) 46 62 62

Doubles - Third Round
(1) Black/Huber (ZIM/USA) d. Azarenka/Kuznetsova (BLR/RUS) 63 63

Monday, January 25, 2010

Australian Open 2010 Day 9 Open Thread

http://blog.piajanebijkerk.com/WordPress/wp-content/uploads/2008/01/australia-day1.jpg
Source

It's Australia Day, the day Aussies celebrate the landing of the First Fleet with Captain Phillip and the convicts.

::

We have arrived at the quarterfinals. MadProfessah's picks are here and here.

For today's bottom half matchups, I'm going with Rafael Nadal in four, Marin Cilic in four, Justine Henin in three, and Zheng Jie in three.

For Roddick to avoid the upset, he's going to have to block out his knee pain and hope that his experience can carry him through if Cilic tightens up at the end of sets as he did against Juan Martin del Potro.

If Murray is to have a chance of dismissing a man determined to defend his title.... Scratch that. He has no chance. Oh, he'll make it interesting and give Rafa's fans a few strokes, but he has no chance.

Miss Nadia will have to win in straights -- which I believe she can, here's hoping she does, too -- and MariaK's going to have to believe she belongs in the final four of a Slam.

Who you got?

Order Of Play For Tuesday, 26 January 2010

Rod Laver Arena 11:00 Start Time

1. Women's Singles - Quarterfinals
Justine Henin (BEL) v. Nadia Petrova (RUS)[19]
2. Women's Singles - Quarterfinals
Jie Zheng (CHN) v. Maria Kirilenko (RUS)
3. Men's Singles - Quarterfinals
Andy Roddick (USA)[7] v. Marin Cilic (CRO)[14]

Rod Laver Arena 19:30 Start Time
1. Men's Singles - Quarterfinals
Andy Murray (GBR)[5] v. Rafael Nadal (ESP)[2]

Australian Open 2010: Men's Quarterfinals Preview

by Mad Professah

Here are my predictions for the men's quarterfinals at the Australian Open this year, which is one of the strongest fields in recent memory, with 6 of the top8 seeds making it to the final eight.

Roger Federer SUI (1) vs. Nikolay Davydenko RUS (6). Haven't we seen this movie before? Roger Federer, the Greatest Of All Time, playing late in a major tournament against Kolya the Obsure Russian. Yes, we have, but since the last major was played Davydenko has won not one but two tournaments where he beat both Rafael Nadal and Federer. That still gives him the uninspiring record of 2 wins 12 losses against The Mighty Fed, including 0-4 in majors. In fact, in 2006 Davydenko lost in this very same round to Federer in four relatively tight sets. Of course neither player is the same player they were four years ago. One would really have to say that it is Davydenko who has improved more in that time, rather than Federer. I suspect this match will be closer than most people expect, but that Federer will pull through, bringing his already incredible streak of 22 consecutive Grand Slam semifinals to a ridiculous 23. PREDICTION: Federer in 5 sets.

Novak Djokovic SRB (3) vs Robin Soderling SWE (8) Jo-Wilfried Tsonga FRA (10). You know things are good when a reprise of the 2008 men's final is not even the best match-up of this round. It's interesting that Robin Soderling was seeded to have this position, because I always expected "Jo-Willie" to be right here from the beginning of the tournament. Unfortunately for him, I don't think the result will be any different from the last time the charismatic Frenchman played the talented Serb on the big stage in Melbourne. Djokovic is playing devastating tennis and is anxious to remain in the conversation when talk turns to the Nadal-Federer monopoly on major titles. Unless Tsonga is playing the tennis that had him dismiss Nadal in that magical semifinal in 2008, he will probably not even win a set. Then again one never knows what could happen because last year the defending champion bizarrely threw in the towel against Andy Roddick at this stage of the tournament. However, I am pretty sure he is eager to erase memories of that result from the tennis-watching public's mind. PREDICTION: Djokovic in 4 sets.


Andy Roddick USA (7) vs. Juan Martin Del Potro ARG (4). Marin Cilic CRO (14). I really never expected to see Juan Martín del Potro make it this far in the tournament and he really never looked very comfortable in any of his matches in Melbourne. Cilic was impressive in maintaining his composure as he blew breakpoint after breakpoint against the reigning US Open champion and beat his once and future rival for the first time at a major. A lot of people (including myself) have favorably re-assessed the play of Andy Roddick after the incredible competitive spirit he showed in the best match of last year, the 2009 Wimbledon men's final. However, Marin Cilic is undefeated in 2010 and he is absolutely not satisfied with only being a quarterfinalist. I'm sure he truly believes that if Juan Martin can win a major (over Federer no less!) than he can as well. If so, he'll have to get through at least three more excellent players to get there, as well as have some good luck. Fortune favors the brave. PREDICTION: Cilic in 5 sets.

Andy Murray GBR (5) vs. Rafael Nadal ESP (2). This is the match-up of the tournament (so far). The one player who is playing even sharper tennis than Djokovic is Andy Murray, who hears the clamor of "best player not to have won a major" getting louder and louder every single day. Although Nadal sports a 7-2 career head-to-head lead, Murray's two wins have occurred on hard courts. However, Nadal did beat Murray in a 5-set match in Melbourne in 2007. However, the Andy Murray of today is not the same player Nadal dispatched then. Also, Nadal has not really been that impressive in getting this far in the tournament, although maybe that is because he has not been seriously tested. That will end in this match. Either way, the defending champion will not go out without a tremendous fight. This should be the best match of the four and a great one overall. PREDICTION: Murray in 5 sets.

Friday, January 22, 2010

Melbourne: Days 4 & 5 – “Shock Infested” Swamps


So it all happened out there yesterday.


It was hot, it was muggy and some of the play looked to have been extricated from a swamp.


Petrova d. Clijsters 6-0, 6-1


A shocker, but perhaps also something of required reality check. Cupcake Kim she’s most certainly no more, but even the most ardent of her fans would concede she’s not immune to the odd bad day at the office.


Perhaps more interesting was the the way she dealt with it in the presser:


"It sucks," she said. "I was completely off. She was good but I made all the mistakes and she didn't really have to do much. She served really well and was aggressive in the rallies, but that's because I let her play. It sucks that it has to happen at this stage of this tournament. If it happens in another tournament, then you can say: 'OK, it's not a big deal, just keep working hard.' Matches like this happen maybe once a year.

"You just try to stay calm because there were points where I really wanted to break my racket into pieces, but that's not going to help either, so you really just try to stay positive. At some points I was just happy I was hitting a ball in. That's how bad it was."

The Guardian


Yowza, Yowza, Yowza!


Kimmie 2.0 has very much arrived – with not a cupcake in sight.


She’s picked up on court largely where she left off after her first Slam, but it’s off court that the real transformation has taken place.


Kimmie 2.0 is a darker, more edgy figure, with a more Hingis-like, caustic world view of her opponents. She's also more comfortable using words like ‘suck’.


The rest of the year suddenly got more interesting.


Bondarenko d. Jankovic 6-2 6-3


First things first.


What on earth is going on with Jelena’s serve?


There seems to be a viral marketing campaign currently doing the rounds in women’s locker rooms, that like any properly constructed sales pitch, is disturbingly effective in signing up consumers for stuff they don’t need.


Jelena’s first serve was a liability………back in 2007.


It was never going to assume B-52 proportions but since then I did think she successfully fashioned it into something more competent, something she might use to do more with than simply start the point.


I’d put up a clip except I had my first run-in with Tennis Australia who insisted I take down those two Henin clips from my last post (You know you’ve arrived on YouTube when that happens for the first time, though whether a 50 second tennis clip actually infringes copyright or should come under what most would consider ‘fair use’ remains open for debate).


For now I’ll attempt to describe it as best I can.


From the peacock-like head cocking, to the bending of the knees to an angle so acute, you’d think she needs the type of knee protection Moto Rally GP drivers are routinely issued with.


The pay off for such excessive re-architecting? Darned if I can see it.


She may even have regressed.


As for the rest of her game, it’s not entirely in tatters – but a visit to the drapers wouldn’t go amiss.


What little rhythm she did manage to create, was quickly quashed by Bondarenko who I’m sure has come on leaps and bounds since the last time I saw her.


Sign me up as a fan.


Kuznetsova d. Kerber 3-6 7-5 6-4


Sveta left it all out on court in round two. It was smooth, it was dreamy and as always when she’s on song, so cruel it was cute – Pavlyuchenkova didn’t know what had hit her, with no idea how to respond even once she did.


I was even deluded into believing she might have taken that next vital step up to becoming comfortable in her skin as a two time Slam Champion.


She must have left it all out on court – because last night, there was nothing left.


She made Kerber look as good as she did, by letting loose a total of 43 UFEs (peanuts compared to Shaza’s first round outage, I know) – shoot anyone that tries to convince you otherwise.


This one should have been over in 1:25, instead it lasted over two hours.


Maybe starting after the Nadal match at 12am had something to do with it.


Champions sometimes have a stinker in the first week – but are conditioned into putting it behind them and playing their subsequent matches with such panache, you sometimes think they were undergoing necessary detox.


I’d like to think it’s that way with Sveta – except I’ve been wrong so many times.


Safina d. Baltacha 6-1 6-2


Brits have been busy celebrating the first time two women have reached the second round of a Slam outside of Wimbledon since 1992.


But Dinara poured hot tar over all of that yesterday - just like she has been in all her matches so far.


The difference in class was all too evident.


I’m rather liking the look of Safina’s groundies since the beginning of the event.


That serve however...


Henin d. Kleybanova 3-6 6-4 6-2


Justine dropped a set and has picked up a leg inflammation – no doubt from all those hours spent 'comparing notes' with Elena on court – could she be the next big story with a flat ending?


Nadal d. Kohlschreiber 6-4 6-2 2-6 7-5


Oh the unqualified joy of seeing the ‘Declinist’ position on Rafa’s game, being sequestered in it’s proper place.


I have no idea whether or not Rafa will go all the way – at this point I’d say that’s not all that likely, nor for that matter as important as the question of whether his play resembles something like that of Pre Wimby 2009: It does.


If there’s one thing Kohlschreiber deals in, it’s BIG-UPSET tennis.


This might just have gone the same way as his match with A-Rod did two years back, if Phillip didn’t run out of gas somewhere near the beginning of the fourth set.


We were all waiting to see Rafa go up against credible opposition, and Phillip might just have been the tonic with which to put a seal on Rafa’s revival.


The confidence very evident in the way he shunted back a once-in-a-career wide angled backhand winner that was so far out of court he had to go round the net post.


Yeah that’s what comes of not being able to post up YouTube clips anymore. Boo.


Cilic d. Wawrinka 4-6 6-4 6-3 6-2


This one had five set bruiser written all over it.


I didn’t get to see it – but it’s kind of the result I expected.


Stanislas has been all at sea since Wimbledon last year, a period that’s coincided rather nicely with Marin’s upward march.


Marin is “the new Delpo” according to some – a view I would almost share were it not for the fact that their styles of play are a little like oil and water.


But there’s no doubting Marin is the best placed to have a Delpo like breakthrough year.


Somewhat befitting then, he should be playing “Mr Breakthroughs-are-so-2009” himself, in the next round.


A match that could go either way if you believe there’s anything behind that wrist injury Delpo came into the event with.


***


I didn’t catch very much of the action from day four.


I’ll try and be quick.


Davydenko d. Marchenko 6-3 6-3 6-0


Kolya’s the man of moment right now, and something tells me this is different from the surge Nalbie experienced at the end of 2007. One that was promptly extinguished in Oz the following year (nice to have you back Daveed, almost).


I’m still not confident of him going all the way, but Davy looks awfully close to embracing at least some of the attention that goes along with taking out the best two players on the planet at consecutive events; he definitely has a different look about him this year – one that was in full show yesterday against poor old Marchenko , who to his credit didn’t play a poor match.


The top ten is sometimes a dark, murky place; full of untold misery for any hapless intruder unfortunate enough to blunder into the wrong party (remember Fed performing live vivisection on Delpo last year?), and Davy is currently it’s arch-executioner.


I do so want him to go all the way, but will for now be content with the knowledge that seeing him face off against Fed in the quarters might turn out to be every bit as good as the Rafa/Sod encounter we won’t now get to see.


Federer d. Hanescu 6-2 6-3 6-2


Normal service ‘resumptionalised’. For the time being.


Djokovic d. Chiudinelli 3-6 6-1 6-1 6-3


Having not seen any of Djoko’s matches so far, I’m not entirely sure where he is (yeah, that old chestnut). I’d like to think he’s been bolstered by that win in Paris last year.


Until I see him face off against Tsonga, Haas or Youzhny, who all lurk menacingly in his quarter of the draw however, I can’t be completely certain of that.


image


Not crazy about the “Hell’s Angel meets Kung-Fu Fighting” edition Sergio Tacchini have kitted him out with either. Though it’s far more preferable to the incoherent slather of colour Murray’s been daubed with. Especially beneath those ‘pits’.


V. Williams d. Bammer 6-2 7-5


This time last year I was highly optimistic of Queen V’s chances of fixing that gaping hole on her CV, by winning her first Slam on a blue surface since the early Noughties.


This year I saw nothing leading into the event that would suggest that’s even a remote possibility.


Dulko d. Ivanovic 6-7 7-5 6-4


It’s becoming difficult to avoid at least considering the possibility that Ana’s set to go the same way as Vaidisova, and understanding the root of her problems sometimes feels like a niche Philosophy.


I’m not about to embark on either.


There were some good signs in her play, but not very many, and more disturbingly an action that almost suggests she’s made her peace with wonky service tosses – they seem to have fused themselves into her game so stealthily, she’s now more inclined to adapt to an errant ball toss than she is to continue to try and work it out of her game.


Sunday, October 11, 2009

Asian Order.

I forgot to mention Youzhny yesterday, who's had something of an upturn in his fortunes this week.


And despite my future willingness to treat French tennis seriously being heavily dependant on the outcome of that French Proposition I put forth a few days ago, a small part of me wanted to see Youzhny pull through today, hopefully bringing to an end a particularly dank spell of form.


A season that’s seen him plummet from his top ten highs of early 2008.


tsonga

(Photo: Getty)


But it wasn’t to be. Jo was nimble, Jo was keen, Jo-was-serving-like-a-dream.


And was rewarded, for his troubles with what looked like an item of 80s Phantasm Memorabilia.


Taken with Gael and Gilles' efforts this is now the most productive three weeks of French tennis I care to remember.


I’m tentatively back on board.


Similar story in Beijing.


A-Rad looked set to cap off a week of borderline top ten play.


But there’s few distinctions in tennis more worthy of my attention than the sight of one of it’s most skilled athletes intent on playing the house down, and even fewer than watching Sveta doing precisely that from her very first match.


The Pole did good, and has much to be proud of, though I think I still prefer the relative ‘order’ of the head girl beating up on the young fledgling.


Fortunately A-Rad seems to share my view of things.

kuzchina

(Photo: AP)


And in other news from the land of oversized cheques and trophies, Nole celebrated his recent ascension to world #3 with his best Rafa impression yet.


djoko (Photo: AP)


…and by throwing his shirt in security’s face.


nole (Photo: AP)


Generally unimpressed with this outcome.


For Marin it’s another nearly-man result. And not an entirely distinguished one for Novak either, despite getting past some tricky opponents.


They’ll have it all to play for next week.


Saturday, October 10, 2009

Wood Chippers, ‘from what I understand’, are all the rage in the Far East…

So quite a lot of this happened yesterday.


chipper2


For those that still don’t know it, Marin knocked seven shades of minty-green out of Rafa, whose serve, from what I understand, has a lot to answer for.


I’ll be using the phrase “from what I understand” an awful lot over today and tomorrow.


And maybe even in the future; at least until that great British Broadcasting Machine stops pretending men's tennis doesn’t exist in between Flushing Meadows and Shanghai.


This Asian Swing, has taken shape in a way, I certainly didn’t see coming.


Beijing in particular.


The suits cannot be well pleased at having missed out on televising what might well turn out to have been the best ATP 500 event this year. And you all thought the tour couldn’t survive the absence of Roger Federer.


That’s the second top four player disposed of, head first through the Cilician wood-chipper, in little over a month.


“From the beginning of the match until the end I didn’t let my level of play drop and definitely I came into the match really good,” Cilic said. “I was aggressive when I had to be.

“The best thing I did today: I didn’t back off, I was just stubborn with my style of play.”

(ESPN)



cilic

(Photo: AFP)


Following up opposite Juan-Marteen proved more difficult after his ‘upset’ of Andy Murray at Flushing last month.


I’d like to see him use more of that stubbornness, to follow up good n’proper this time round, even though I’d normally back Novak to break his finals curse. This is turning out to be something of a breakthrough year for Marin – and I think he needs a title at this level to underscore that. More so than Novak, whose interests would be better served at the Masters level – where he’s already made a staggering 4 finals this year.


Speaking of which, Novak played some pretty fine tennis of his own yesterday.


“From what I understand”, Big Rob was far from his best, but that in no way detracts from Nole’s performance; one that included more of that ‘grind’ I’ve found so unpalatable these past few months.


I’ve no objection to it being used in moderation provided it’s mixed in with those more aggressive bouts of play that should, under normal circumstances, be considered the mainstay of his game.


But there’ll be no Rafa Soderling final tomorrow. Rafa’s chipped to bits. ‘The Rob’ stops here. My ‘double-blind’ predictions saw to that.


***


Not to be outdone, the Sveta wood-chipper made equally short work of Nadia, racing to a one set lead before Petrova had even found her feet. From there on in, and understandably feeling the after effects of her three setter against Vera the day before, Nadia made an admirable commitment to a match she must have known was never going to be her own.


Not with Sveta firing on five out of four cylinders.


Nadia did however reinforce my conviction that no Russian serves anywhere near as well as her. You know who to hit with Elena. Another day, another opponent, and it might have been so very different.


"If I play my best game I think I'm to be the favourite but you never know," said Kuznetsova.

(SkySports)


No you never do know, but it’s A-Rad, rather than the favourite (and my favourite) Sveta, that I’ll be rooting for tomorrow..


She triumphed in straights over Bartoli, a result I would normally have expected to have gone the other way round; but perhaps not that unexpected this week with A-Rad seemingly set to go A-Rad 2.0, and not nearly as unexpected as the sight of Bartoli turning up to the match in what looked like a Matron’s castoff.


bartoli (Photo: AP)

 
Copyright TENNIS CAMP - Powered by Home Recordings
ProSense theme converted by Blogger Template l wong2band l Gwaw.